Senin, 26 Desember 2016

45 Proyek Mangkrak Atau Bermasalah Pada Masa Ahok

By Repelita Online -5387

45 PROYEK MANGKRAK ATAU BERMASALAH PADA MASA AHOK

Oleh : Muchtar Efendi Harahap
Dua tulisan kami sebelumnya, Membandingkan Kinerja Ahok dengan Foke Bagian 1  dan bagian 2  , Kami telah memaparkan 20 indikator kinerja kunci pemerintahan yang menunjukkan bahwa kinerja Basuki Tjahaya Purnama (Ahok), Gubernur Jakarta non aktif yang juga tersangka penistaan agama, ternyata lebih buruk dari Fauzi Bowo (Foke), mantan Gubernur Jakarta 2007-2012. Padahal selama ini, banyak diopinikan bahwa kinerja Ahok baik. Pada sisi lain, Foke banyak diopinikan contoh pemimpin gagal & bahkan disebut “tidak bekerja”.

Pada masa kampanye Pilkada 2012, Foke juga banyak dikritik karena dianggap adanya proyek-proyek/program-program strategis mangkrak. Pada saat itu, proyek/program strategis dianggap mangkrak atau bermasalah tidak hanya proyek yang benar-benar secara resmi dihentikan tetapi juga proyek yang sudah ground breaking tetapi tidak bisa selesai pada periode Foke. Sebagai contoh, proyek MRT, Foke telah melakukan serangkaian pekerjaan persiapan seperti pembentukan PT. MRT Jakarta [1, 2], pembuatan desain engineering proyek [1, 3], kajian dampak lalu lintas [1, 4], dan pembebasan lahan [1], pada April 2012 telah melakukan ground breaking & menyampaikan bahwa akan dioperasikan pada 2016 [5].  Akan tetapi, proyek MRT tetap dianggap mangkrak.
Tulisan ini menggunakan sudut pandang yang sama dalam memandang proyek/program strategis yang mangkrak atau bermasalah. Dan hasilnya ternyata proyek/program strategis yang mangkrak di masa Ahok cukup signifikan jumlahnya. Parahnya, beberapa proyek/program strategis yang mangkrak ternyata proyek/program yang merupakan lanjutan dari proyek/program Foke yang saat kampanye Pilkada 2012 dijanjikan Foke akan bisa diselesaikan pada periode 2012-2017 jika ia terpilih kembali. Inilah 45 proyek/program strategis Pemerintahan DKI yang mangkrak atau bermasalah di masa Ahok.
  1. Proyek monorail
Proyek monorail mangkrak & secara resmi dihentikan oleh Ahok [6]. Pada masa Foke, proyek ini juga dihentikan karena investor tidak dapat menambah modal sedangkan pemda DKI tidak memiliki anggaran untuk memberikan tambahan investasi [7, 8]. Capaian Ahok ini tentunya buruk mengingat anggaran di masa Ahok jauh lebih besar dari Foke. Pada Tahun anggaran 2015 saja, Ahok memiliki anggaran senilai Rp.69,28 T [9]. Jumlah ini hampir dua kali lipat anggaran Foke pada tahun 2012 senilai Rp. 36,02 T [10].
  1. Proyek ERP
Proyek ERP mangkrak dimana selama 4 tahun tidak kunjung berjalan [11]. Capaian  Ahok ini tentunya buruk mengingat Foke sudah mempersiapkan rencana implementasi & dapat dijalankan pada 2014 apabila Peraturan Pemerintah terkait pemungutan jalan berbayar dari Kementerian Keuangan diterbitkan [12, 13]. Ternyata persoalan ini tidak dapat diselesaikan juga oleh Jokowi & Ahok [14].
  1. Proyek 15 Koridor Busway
Proyek penambahan koridor baru Busway agar menjadi 15 koridor merupakan proyek penting mengingat busway mengadopsi konsep Bus Rapid Transit yang memiliki fitur utama adanya jalur khusus yang bebas dari kendaraan pribadi & menunjang pola transportasi makro. Lebih lanjut, hal itu merupakan janji Pilkada 2012 [15].
Proyek penambahan koridor busway menjadi 15 koridor tidak terealisasi. Jokowi hanya mampu menambah sebuah koridor baru yaitu koridor 12 yang merupakan lanjutan pekerjaan Foke sedangkan Ahok belum menambah sebuah koridor pun [1, 16, 17, 18, & 19]. Capaian ini tentunya lebih buruk dari Foke, yang telah dicap gagal, dimana ia mampu menambah 4  koridor baru [1].
  1. Proyek penambahan 1000 busway
Proyek ini merupakan janji pilkada 2012 [15]. Proyek penambahan 1000 busway tidak terealisasi. Selama Ahok menjabat (2014-2015), hanya mampu menambah 72 bus dan mendapat 30 bus sumbangan pengusaha [18, 19]. Lebih lanjut, proyek ini bahkan membuat masalah disebabkan adanya kasus korupsi pada pengadaan bus Trans Jakarta [20]. Selain itu, ternyata bus-bus baru yang diadakan juga ada yang dalam kondisi rusak [21].
  1. Proyek Sodetan kali Ciliwung-Kanal Banjir Timur
Proyek Sodetan kali Ciliwung-Kanal Banjir Timur mangkrak [22]. Hal ini diakibatkan pembebasan lahan yang gagal dijalankan dengan baik sehingga dikalahkan pada PTUN [22]. Capaian ini tentunya buruk mengingat pada masa Jokowi maupun Ahok, pemerintah Pusat (Presiden SBY & Jokowi)  telah mengalokasikan anggaran untuk menyelesaikan proyek ini [23, 24]. Kondisi ini berbeda pada masa Foke, yang mengusulkan proyek ini dimana Pusat melalui Wapres meskipun menyatakan menyetujui tetapi hanya prioritas kesepuluh [25].
  1. Proyek Kampung Deret
Proyek penataan pemukiman kumuh ini merupakan proyek yang dijanjikan dalam Pilkada 2012 [15, 26]. Pada masa Jokowi, proyek ini sempat dijalankan tetapi pada masa Ahok proyek tersebut
mangkrak  [27]. Kondisi ini tentunya sangat buruk mengingat  Foke sukses merubah 274 RW kumuh dengan proyek MHT plus [1].
  1. Proyek kampung susun
Proyek kampung susun merupakan proyek yang dijanjikan dalam kampanye Pilkada 2012 [26]. Proyek ini tidak pernah direalisasikan meskipun ide rancangan telah didiskusikan & diusulkan [28]. Ahok dianggap ingkar janji [28].
  1. Proyek pembangunan Rusunawa dengan sumber dana bagi hasil dari pemerintah pusat
Rusunawa di DKI dapat dibangun selain dengan sumber Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD), juga dengan sumber anggaran dana bagi hasil dari pemerintah pusat atau lainnya. Dalam kaitan ini, proyek pembangunan rusunawa di DKI yang terkait sumber dana bagi hasil dari pemerintah pusat senilai 2 Triliun sebanyak 3.000 unit batal yang tersebar di 22 lokasi [29]. Hal ini diindikasikan terkait dengan terlalu lamanya Pemprov DKI menyimpan uang di bank sehingga akhirnya dana tersebut dikurangi [30, 31]. Diantara 22 proyek rusunawa tersebut mungkin redundant dengan proyek yang disebutkan setelah ini.
  1. Proyek Rusunawa Cengkareng Barat, Jakarta Barat
Proyek pembangunan rusunawa ini Mangkrak [32]. Terdapat korupsi pengadaan lahan untuk pembangunan rusun tersebut [33]. Menurut keterangan Sekda, Ahok memberikan disposisi pembelian lahan Cengkareng Barat langsung kepada Kepala Badan Pengelola Keuangan dan Aset Daerah (BPKAD) DKI Jakarta dan Kepala Dinas Perumahan dan Gedung Pemda DKI Jakarta [34]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek Rusunawa Semper Barat
Proyek pembangunan rusunawa ini mangkrak [35]. Warga menyebut bahwa sudah 3-4 bulan tidak ada pekerja yang terlihat [36]. Proyek ini dihentikan oleh Ahok [37, 38]. Saat dihentikan proyek ini belum mencapai 50% [39].
  1. Proyek Rusunawa Jatinegara Kaum
Proyek pembangunan rusunawa jatinegara kaum mangkrak [37, 40]. Proyek ini dihentikan oleh Ahok [37]. Saat dihentikan, proyek belum mencapai 50% [41].
Sumarsono, PLT Gubernur DKI, menyebut kontraktor proyek ini ternyata dimasukkan daftar hitam oleh Bogor [37]. Suatu hal yang tidak mencerminkan tata kelola pengadaan yang baik dimana instansi pemerintah menunjuk kontraktor yang masuk ke dalam daftar hitam sehingga dapat dimengerti mengapa akhirnya proyek ini mangkrak.
  1. Proyek Rusunawa Pinus Elok
Proyek pembangunan rusunawa Pinus Elok mangkrak [37, 40]. Proyek ini dihentikan oleh Ahok [37]. Saat dihentikan, proyek belum mencapai 50% [41].
Sumarsono, PLT Gubernur DKI, menyebut kontraktor proyek ini ternyata dimasukkan daftar hitam oleh Bogor [37]. Suatu hal yang tidak mencerminkan tata kelola pengadaan yang baik dimana instansi pemerintah menunjuk kontraktor yang masuk ke dalam daftar hitam sehingga dapat dimengerti mengapa akhirnya proyek ini mangkrak.
  1. Proyek Rusunawa Cakung Barat
Proyek pembangunan Rusunawa Cakung Barat Mangkrak [37, 42]. Proyek ini dihentikan oleh Ahok [37, 38]. Saat dihentikan proyek ini belum mencapai 50% [39].
  1. Proyek Rusunawa Jalan Bekasi KM 2
Proyek pembangunan Rusunawa Jalan Bekasi KM 2 mangkrak [37, 42]. Proyek ini dihentikan oleh Ahok [37, 38]. Saat dihentikan proyek ini belum mencapai 50% [39].
  1. Proyek Rusunawa Marunda
Proyek pembangunan Rusunawa Marunda mangkrak [37, 42].  Proyek ini dihentikan oleh Ahok [37, 38]. Saat dihentikan proyek ini belum mencapai 50% [39].
  1. Proyek rusunawa Rawa Bebek
Proyek pembangunan Rusunawa Rawa Bebek mangkrak [37, 42]. Proyek ini dihentikan oleh Ahok [37, 38]. Saat dihentikan proyek ini baru mencapai 67% [39].
  1. Proyek Revitalisasi Rusun Penjaringan
Proyek Revitalisasi Rusun Penjaringan mangkrak [43]. Kondisi ini membuat sejumlah barang milik warga yang ditinggalkan dalam rumah dijarah pencuri [43].
  1. Proyek rusunawa di lahan sekitar Waduk Pluit dan Muara Baru, Jakarta Utara
Proyek pembangunan rusunawa di lahan sekitar Waduk Pluit dan Muara Baru, Jakarta Utara mangkrak [32]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek Rusunawa di Kelurahan Pondok Pinang, Jakarta Selatan
Proyek pembangunan rusunawa di Kelurahan Pondok Pinang mangkrak [32]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek Rusunawa di lahan eks kantor Suku Dinas Kebersihan Jakarta Timur
Proyek pembangunan rusunawa di lahan eks kantor Suku Dinas Kebersihan Jakarta Timur mangkrak [32]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek pembangunan Intermediate Technology Facility (ITF) untuk pengolahan sampah.
Proyek pembangunan Intermediate Technology Facility (ITF) untuk pengolahan sampah mangkrak [44]. Padahal tinggal melanjutkan tender Foke yang tertunda karena transisi pemilihan Gubernur (2012) [45]. Capaian tersebut tentunya lebih buruk dari Foke, yang telah dicap gagal, dimana ia mampu menyelesaikan proyek TPST Bantar Gebang yang mampu mengubah sampah menjadi listrik & diberikan penghargaan Anugerah Dharma Karya Energi dari Kementerian ESDM & membangun ITF Cakung Cilincing dengan teknologi mechanical biological treatment, yang mengubah sampah jadi kompos [1, 46, 47].
  1. Proyek mall khusus untuk PKL
Proyek ini merupakan janji pilkada 2012 [48]. Akan tetapi, janji tersebut tidak pernah terealisasi. Tahun 2013, sempat akan dibangun tapi terbentur pembebasan lahan [17]. Dan ini tidak pernah lagi terwujud pada tahun-tahun berikutnya.
  1. Proyek pemasangan 6000 CCTV
Proyek ini masih jauh dari target, dimana hingga Juni 2016 belum mencapai 56% [49]. Padahal seharusnya ditargetkan selesai pada Juni 2016 [49].
  1. Proyek rehabilitasi sekolah
Tahun 2016, proyek rehabilitasi 45 sekolah mangkrak [50, 51].  Tahun 2013-2015, proyek ini diduga dikorupsi & saat ini masih dalam proses penyelidikan [52].
  1. Program Biaya Operasional Pendidikan (BOP) untuk Sekolah Swasta
Program BOP untuk Sekolah Swasta dihentikan [53, 54]. Penghentian ini membuat nasib sekolah swasta terlunta-lunta dan dikeluhkan [53, 55]. Lebih lanjut, penghentian BOP untuk sekolah swasta membuat filosofi sekolah gratis hilang. Prinsip ini sesuai dengan apa yang diucapkan Ahok saat masih menjadi Wakil Gubernur [56].
  1. Proyek Waduk Marunda
Proyek waduk marunda mangkrak [32, 57, 58]. Padahal proyek tersebut sudah ada sejak Gubernur DKI dijabat oleh Jokowi tetapi tidak kunjung beres [57, 58]. Bahkan warga menyebut tidak hanya mangkrak, proyek ini dapat disebut berhenti total [57]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang pembebasan lahannya akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek Waduk Brigif
Proyek Waduk Brigif mangkrak [32, 58, 59]. Padahal proyek tersebut sudah ada sejak Gubernur DKI dijabat oleh Jokowi tetapi tidak kunjung beres [58]. Warga menyebut sudah sekitar empat bulan tidak ada aktivitas [59]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek Waduk Jagakarsa
Proyek Waduk Jagakarsa mangkrak [60]. Warga menyebut hampir setahun tidak ada aktivitas sehingga akhirnya ditanami pohon jati [60]. Menurut keterangan Kepala Dinas terkait, proyek ini terkendala alat berat yang dimiliki [60]. Alasan ini sebetulnya kurang masuk akal mengingat besarnya APBD DKI Jakarta.
  1. Proyek waduk di Pondok Ranggon
Proyek waduk di Pondok Ranggon mangkrak [32, 58, 61]. Padahal proyek tersebut sudah ada sejak Gubernur DKI dijabat oleh Jokowi tetapi tidak kunjung beres [58]. Ketua RT di Pondok Rangon menyebut sudah dua tahun tidak ada tanda-tanda kelanjutan pembangunan waduk [61]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang pembebasan lahannya akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek waduk di Kampung Rambutan di Jakarta Timur
Proyek waduk di Kampung Rambutan di Jakarta Timur  mangkrak [32, 58]. Padahal proyek tersebut sudah ada sejak Gubernur DKI dijabat oleh Jokowi tetapi tidak kunjung beres [58]. Hingga September 2016, proyek tersebut belum mencapai 50% [62]. Lalu, berhenti lagi karena terkendala alat berat [63]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang pembebasan lahannya akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek Waduk Rawa Kendal
Proyek Waduk Rawa Kendal mangkrak [32, 57]. Padahal, proyek ini sudah ada sejak Jokowi dan sebenarnya ditargetkan selesai pada 2014 [64]. Pada 2015 lalu, sempat diberitakan proyek telah mangkrak selama setahun [65]. Pada APBD-P 2016, proyek tersebut termasuk proyek yang akhirnya dicoret [32].
  1. Proyek Waduk Rorotan
Proyek waduk rorotan mangkrak [58]. Padahal proyek tersebut sudah ada sejak Gubernur DKI dijabat oleh Jokowi tetapi tidak kunjung beres [58]. Mangkraknya proyek ini tidak terlepas dari persoalan yang melibatkan pihak pengembang, PT. Mitra Sindo Makmur [66].
  1. Proyek Waduk Cengkareng
Proyek waduk ini sebenarnya berada di Kalideres, bukan Cengkareng [67]. Proyek ini sudah ada sejak Gubernur DKI dijabat Jokowi dan diberitakan termasuk waduk yang mangkrak [58].
  1. Proyek Waduk Giri Kencana Cilangkap
Proyek waduk cilangkap ini mangkrak [58, 68]. Padahal proyek tersebut sudah ada sejak Gubernur DKI dijabat oleh Jokowi tetapi tidak kunjung beres [58]. Pada September 2015, diberitakan bahwa sudah setahun mangkrak karena persoalan pembebasan lahan [69]. Pada Juli 2016, juga diberitakan bahwa pembangunan masih mangkrak hingga dimanfaatkan warga untuk memancing dan berdiri bangunan liar [68].
  1. Proyek Waduk Cimanggis
Proyek waduk Cimanggis mangkrak [70]. Mangkraknya proyek ini disebabkan hilangnya central processing unit (CPU) pengendali alat berat [70].
  1. Proyek Revitalisasi Waduk Rawa Lindung
Proyek revitalisasi ini mangkrak [71, 72]. Padahal proyek ini sudah ada sejak Jokowi menjabat Gubernur DKI Jakarta dan belum kunjung beres [71]. Kondisi ini menyebabkan saat hujan membuat Jalan M Saidi Raya selebar enam meter menjadi kali dengan kedalaman hingga 40 cm [71].
  1. Proyek Pintu Air Waduk Rawa Babon
Proyek pintu air waduk rawa babon mangkrak [73]. Diberitakan bahwa warga mengeluhkan proyek pintu air yang telah mangkrak selama tiga bulan dan membuat saat debit air waduk tinggi, air meluber hingga ke Jalan Raya PKP setinggi 30 cm [74]. Parahnya, pada akhir Agustus 2016, terjadi longsor pada lokasi proyek [75].
  1. Proyek SWRO
Proyek pembangunan Sea Water Reverse Osmosis (SWRO) di delapan Pulau Pemukiman Kepulauan Seribu mangkrak [76]. Hal ini karena Pihak kontraktor mengaku tidak dapat melanjutkan pekerjaannya karena masalah finansial [76]. Kondisi ini tentu menunjukkan buruknya tata kelola pengadaan. PLT Gubernur DKI berencana akan menganggarkan kembali pada APBD 2017 dan melakukan pemilihan ulang kontraktor [77].
  1. Stadion baru Persija (BMW)
Proyek stadion baru Persija di Taman BMW (Stadion BMW) merupakan janji Pilkada 2012 [78]. Pada masa Gubernur Jokowi, proyek pembangunan Stadion BMW ini diresmikan pada 28 Mei 2014 [79, 80] dan ditargetkan rampung dua tahun kemudian [80].  Selain itu, direncanakan akan digunakan untuk Asian Games [81]. Akan tetapi, proyek ini kemudian terhambat persoalan gugat menggugat lahan [82]. Pada masa Ahok, akhirnya diputuskan stadion tidak dapat digunakan untuk Asian Games [83] dan akhirnya diakui tidak bisa diselesaikan [84]. Dengan kata lain, dihentikan pembangunannya.
  1. Proyek Pembangunan Trotoar Jaksel
Proyek senilai Rp. 13,5 M ini merupakan proyek APBD 2015 yang ditargetkan selesai pada Desember 2015 [85, 86]. Akan tetapi, hingga Desember 2015, ternyata proyek tersebut baru selesai 30% [85, 87]. Proyek ini bermasalah karena PT IM, selaku pemenang tender, mengalihkan pengerjaan proyek ke pihak lain, yakni pemborong N. Tak sampai di situ, N pun mengalihkan proyek ke pihak K [85]. Alhasil, proyek itu tak kunjung rampung hingga tenggat yang ditetapkan [85, 87]. Pada Bulan Juli 2016, Kejaksaan Negeri Jaksel menetapkan tiga tersangka terkait korupsi proyek ini yang diduga merugikan negara sebesar Rp. 3,5 M [87, 88]
  1. Proyek pembangunan terowongan Santa di Jakarta Selatan
Proyek senilai Rp. 106 Miliar ini awalnya direncanakan akan dikerjakan pada 2016 setelah pada 2015 tidak ada pembangunan infrastruktur jalan karena molornya pengesahan APBD DKI 2015 [89]. Akan tetapi, pada APBD-P 2016, proyek ini akhirnya termasuk proyek yang dicoret [89, 90].
  1. Proyek pembangunan simpang tak sebidang di Jembatan Tiga, Pluit, Jakarta Utara
Proyek senilai Rp. 70 Miliar ini awalnya direncanakan akan dikerjakan pada 2016 setelah pada 2015 tidak ada pembangunan infrastruktur jalan karena molornya pengesahan APBD DKI 2015 [89]. Akan tetapi, pada APBD-P 2016, proyek ini akhirnya termasuk proyek yang dicoret [89, 90].
  1. Proyek pembangunan simpang tak sebidang Jalan Panjang di Jakarta Barat
Proyek senilai Rp. 154 Miliar ini awalnya direncanakan akan dikerjakan pada 2016 setelah pada 2015 tidak ada pembangunan infrastruktur jalan karena molornya pengesahan APBD DKI 2015 [89]. Akan tetapi, pada APBD-P 2016, proyek ini akhirnya termasuk proyek yang dicoret [89, 90].
  1. Proyek MRT
Proyek MRT tidak bisa selesai pada periode 2012-2017 & bahkan dipastikan tidak dapat beroperasi pada 2018 [91]. Terhambatnya proyek ini disebabkan masalah seperti pembebasan lahan [92, 93] dan juga masalah teknis seperti kesalahan dalam pemasangan box grider atau gelagar atau mengalami salah cetak sebanyak 57 buah [91]. Meskipun proyek ini dikerjakan, dengan menggunakan cara penilaian terhadap kinerja Foke pada pilkada 2012, proyek ini dikategorikan sebagai proyek bermasalah karena gagal mencapai target & tidak selesai dalam masa 1 periode. Pada masa Foke, April 2012 ia telah melakukan ground breaking & menyampaikan bahwa akan dioperasikan pada 2016 [5]. Tetapi tetap dianggap gagal.
  1. Proyek LRT Jakarta
Proyek LRT Jakarta ini berbeda dengan proyek LRT Jobedetabek Pemerintah Pusat. Proyek ini hanya untuk rute dalam kota [94] dan berada pada kendali PT. Jakpro. Pada Januari 2015, Ahok memastikan bahwa dua rute akan dibangun pada tahun 2015 [95] tetapi hingga saat ini belum ada pembangunan. Pada Maret 2016, diberitakan proyek ini mangkrak & PT. Jakpro diminta menggandeng BUMN [97]. Mangkraknya ini karena keuangan PT. Jakpro yang tidak mencukupi [97].
Pada Juni 2016, akhirnya dilakukan ground breaking proyek [97] dan direncanakan akan mulai dikerjakan pada September 2016 [98]. Tapi, lagi-lagi proyek ini terhenti karena terganjal persoalan aturan yang tidak memungkinkan BUMD menunjuk pemenang lelang secara langsung. Meski Ahok menyebut 17 Oktober 2016 akan ditetapkan pemenang lelang [99], hingga saat ini belum ditetapkan dan proyekpun belum bisa dieksekusi pada tahun 2016 [100]. Dokumen AMDAL juga saat ini belum keluar meski tengah diproses [100]. Dengan demikian, hampir 2 tahun proyek LRT Jakarta gagal dieksekusi sesuai rencana awal. Dalam kaitan itu, jika menggunakan pola yang sama untuk menilai kinerja proyek Fauzi Bowo, maka dapat disebutkan proyek ini adalah proyek bermasalah.
Referensi
Diposting oleh ZA di 22.39 1 komentar

Kamis, 22 Desember 2016

Investors tend to make the same mistakes over and over again. Over the years, I’ve learned that whether you’re selling an uninhabited island for $24 worth of “wampum” … Or whether you’re standing on the same island and trading billions of dollars worth of “CDO’s” … Human beings tend to make the same mistakes, misjudgments, and misunderstandings again and again. And they do so in predictable patterns that often resemble “waves.” That’s an important insight. A dangerous insight. So dangerous, in fact, that the man who first made this discovery was executed by his own government.....>>> ...Every Baby Born Owes Uncle Sam $1,000,000! Soon, every baby born in the United States will get a slap on the butt from the doctor … And a bill from Uncle Sam for $1.1 million dollars. Again, some economists say this is nothing to worry about. We’ve been running a deficit ever since the Revolutionary War, they say, and we’re still here. It’s no different than carrying a long mortgage. ...>>The crisis will start in the global bond markets as investors start dumping U.S. Treasury bills at any price. Washington will respond by raising interest rates. But no matter how high the rates go, investors will avoid U.S. bonds like a five-day-old fish. As interest rates rise, America’s retirees will watch the bond prices in their portfolios take a nosedive. The investments that millions of retirees depend on for income — including private pensions and “guaranteed” annuities — will vanish overnight. With no reserves on hand and nobody left to lend it money, the government will have no choice but to start laying off its 2.7 million federal employees. Next they’ll stop sending out Social Security checks. No more money for Medicare and Medicaid. No more food stamps. Welfare checks. Or disability payments for veterans. Banks and businesses will shut their doors. Soon there will be no cash left in the ATM machines … No gas at the service stations … No food on the grocery shelves. That’s when the American people will take to the streets. Some in peaceful protest, yes. But millions more will take to the streets in hunger, anger and fear.......>>



The Roaring Twenties




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Stock Market
“Tsunami!”

http://www.moneyandmarkets.com/reports/RWR/stockmarket-tsunami-ext/?ccode=&em=1482466501-11477118@anonymous.weissinc.com&sc=OCL&ec=7291104

 The “K‑Wave” is coming to Wall Street. It will lift the Dow to 31,000 before it crashes onshore and leaves total economic devastation in its wake.

Here’s how to ride the CREST of this stock market “Tsunami” and escape the CRASH to follow!

By Larry Edelson - Senior Analyst, Weiss Research
Dear Investor,
Back when I was living in Bangkok, I saw something that made my hair stand on end.
I saw a video taken by some poor soul with his cell phone moments before the tsunami of 2004 hit the beach.
The man shooting the video — and the dozens of people lounging on the shore — had no idea what was coming.
They could hear a loud roar coming from the ocean. They could see the tide go out much faster and farther than it usually would. But they had no idea what these strange signs meant.
Some of them just sat on their beach chairs sipping cocktails and rubbing suntan lotion on their bodies.
Some even wandered out into the low tide to pick up seashells and clams.
Then, in one terrifying instant … everyone was underwater.

Blood-Curdling Screams

You could hear the blood-curdling screams of people drowning.
The wails of mothers separated from their children by millions of gallons of rushing water.
The pitiful cries of “Help!” from people who were beyond all help.



The 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami killed more than 230,000 people
Then the video went dead.
It was a chilling video to watch. But what I have to tell you today may be even more frightening.
Especially if you have any money invested in stocks and bonds.
Because what I’m seeing in the financial markets today is eerily similar to what I saw in that video.

The “K‑Wave” Is Coming

Mark my words: A tidal wave is headed our way.
It will wipe out the lifesavings of millions of investors. But most people can’t even see it coming.
It’s called “The K‑Wave” or “The Long Wave.”



Your chances of being struck by the K‑Wave are 100%.
Whether you are totally wiped out by it — or whether you ride the “crest” of this wave to a level of wealth you never dreamed possible — depends entirely on what you decide to do today.
Because if you keep reading for the next few minutes, I’m not only going to explain what the K‑Wave is and why it poses such a serious threat to your portfolio …
But I’ll also reveal some stocks that could multiply your money by 300% … 400% … even 500% if you “surf” the K‑Wave safely into shore.

Signs and Portents like I Haven’t Seen in 38 Years

Hello, my name is Larry Edelson.
I’ve been studying the financial markets for 38 years.
First as a young commodities trader on Wall Street. Later as the co-founder of a firm that became one of the largest traders of gold in the world. Most recently as a senior analyst at Weiss Research, the nation’s leading independent investment ratings firm.
I can honestly say I’ve never seen signs and portents in the markets as scary as what I’m looking at today.
Not that I haven’t seen some scary stuff in the past.
In early 1987, for example, I predicted the worst collapse in U.S. stock market history.
At the time, the nation was enjoying one of its biggest economic booms. My prediction made me the laughingstock of Wall Street. Friends and colleagues started calling me “Chicken Little Larry.”

The Day Wall Street Stopped Laughing at Me

But they stopped laughing on October 19, 1987, when the Dow lost 23% of its value in a single day.
Twenty years later, I was one of only a few analysts who warned that we were in a housing bubble.
I said the housing crisis would take the stock market and the entire U.S. economy down with it.
It gives me no pleasure to say I was right.
Then in March of 2009, I said the worst was over and it was time to buy stocks again.
Over the next seven years, the S&P rose by 252%. Just like I said it would. 



The media always asks me how I can see what others can’t.
Not surprisingly, predictions like these have earned me attention from the news media.
When reporters from the New York Times, CNBC, and Forbes interview me, they often ask me the same question:
“How can you see what’s coming in the markets when other analysts can’t?”


Here’s My Secret for Seeing What’s Coming Next

My secret is simple: I don’t have an MBA! I don’t have a Ph.D. in economics, either.
That kind of background is a handicap, in my opinion, like blinders on a horse.
My academic training was in cultural anthropology. Economic anthropology, to be precise.
Ever since I was a student at Columbia University, I’ve been fascinated by the cycles and patterns that occur over and over again in human economies.


Investors tend to make the same mistakes over and over again.
Over the years, I’ve learned that whether you’re selling an uninhabited island for $24 worth of “wampum” …
Or whether you’re standing on the same island and trading billions of dollars worth of “CDO’s” …
Human beings tend to make the same mistakes, misjudgments, and misunderstandings again and again.
And they do so in predictable patterns that often resemble “waves.”
That’s an important insight. A dangerous insight.
So dangerous, in fact, that the man who first made this discovery was executed by his own government.

The Most Dangerous Man in the Soviet Union

His name was Nikolai Kondratieff. And he wrote a book called “The Long Waves in Economic Life.” 


Stalin thought Nikolai Kondratieff was the most dangerous man in the Soviet Union. Why? Because he alone understood how economies really work.
The book — really just a pamphlet — was only 23 pages long. You could read it in less than an hour.
But it contained an idea so revolutionary. So incendiary. So threatening to the Soviet Union that he was sentenced to ten years of hard labor in Siberia.
But the Soviet bosses didn’t want to take any chances. On September 17, 1938, Nikolai Kondratieff was shot by a firing squad.
Why?
Because he predicted communism would fail and be replaced by capitalism.
It wasn’t an opinion, said Kondratieff, it was a certainty.
Because human economies move in waves.
When you stop and think about it, that should come as no surprise.
Science has taught us, after all, that everything in the universe moves in waves. Sound moves in waves. Light moves in waves. Electromagnetic waves are what let us listen to music on the radio and watch shows on television.
Is it any wonder human economies move in the same way?

Economic “Waves” Predict What the
Stock Market Will Do Next

Kondratieff proved that economies act just like waves in the physical world. Like radio waves, they have phases, amplitudes, and frequencies.
What’s more, economic waves come in cycles that make changes in the economy easy to predict.
As easy as the phases of the moon. The rise and fall of the tides. The changing of the seasons.
What Kondratieff called “The Long Wave” — which was later named “The K‑Wave” in his honor — shows the changing cycles of private and public influence in the economy.
During the private cycle, free enterprise leads to increasing growth and prosperity.
Think of the “Roaring Twenties,” for example.
Eventually, the wave reaches a crest and begins to collapse in on itself.
This collapse is triggered by a stock market crash, a housing bust, or a run on the banks.
Think of the 1930s.



The K‑Wave crashed with the Great Depression.
At this point, the economic wave enters a phase of public influence.
The government intervenes in the economy by printing more money. Manipulating interest rates. Increasing government jobs, welfare, and handouts.
For a while, everything seems to work fine. But this phase, too, leads to a crash. Because even governments must obey the laws of economics.
And the most basic law is this: 


You Can’t Keep Spending Money You Don’t Have!

This is how Kondratieff knew that communism in the Soviet Union would be replaced by capitalism. 
He predicted it in 1926. Sixty-one years before it happened.
According to Kondratieff, the K‑Wave has a frequency of 47 to 64 years. And if you look back through history, you’ll see how accurate the K‑Wave is:


The K‑Wave predicted every major economic rise and fall in history.
From crest to crest, you can see the dawn of the industrial revolution. The golden age of railroads and steel. The onset of electrical and chemical engineering. The age of the automobile and oil. And, most recently, the information age which peaked with the rise of Internet stocks in 2000.
But you can also see the troughs of those waves:
The panic of 1819. The “Long Depression” of 1873. The “Great Depression” that began in 1929. The stock market crash of 1973, when the market lost 46% of its value, ushering in a long period of “stagflation”.

Bull Markets Come in the “Spring,”
Crashes in the “Fall”

Take a closer look at one wave and you’ll notice a pattern that’s common to all of them.
Because the waves are “fractal” — which means you see the same pattern over and over again. 


Each wave shows a “seasonal” pattern.
Kondratieff said these patterns resemble the seasons of the year.
In the SPRING phase, new technology creates a period of innovation and wealth creation.
In the SUMMER, there is a growing mood of affluence in society. But there’s also growing tension between the “haves” and “have-nots.”
In the FALL, the financial markets reach their peak. But serious trouble is just around the corner.
Finally, the WINTER stage arrives. Now the economy faces severe recession and eventually depression.
Where do we stand in the K‑Wave right now? Take a look:

Where Are We Now?

You are here.
If the K‑Wave is correct, we are now entering a period of deep recession, even depression.


Which could last as long as 23 years and include seismic shifts in the fabric of society.
You've already seen one of those seismic shifts take place with the shocking upset election of Donald Trump.
But what I'm talking about here is much bigger than one man or one election.
I'm talking about a rippling effect that will roll through the entire globe over the course of the next year and leave utter destruction in its wake ...
Wiping some investors out of their lifesavings …
While it makes others rich beyond their wildest dreams.
Of course, you could write this off as the hare-brained theory of one mad Russian scientist.
But Nikolai Kondatrieff was not alone.
Over the years, other economists have confirmed his theories.
They’ve come up with even more accurate ways to predict major shifts in the economy.

Kondratieff Was Not Alone

The 18-year investment cycle described by Simon Kuznets:
Predicts "panic bottoms" in the market.


The 50-year “Cycle of Innovation” developed by Joseph Schumpeter:
Predicts periods of economic and political upheaval.


The 8.6-year “Economic Confidence Model” of Martin Armstrong:
He was recently profiled in The New Yorker magazine. The Model predicts panics every 8.6 years, or 3,141 days.


Armstrong’s cycle predicts that a major financial panic takes place every 8.6 years, or 3,141 days.
If the number 3,141 looks familiar to you, by the way, put a decimal point where the comma is and you’ll recognize it as “pi.”
Which you may recall from your high-school geometry is the number that determines the diameter of a circle.
If history repeats itself in cycles, you may wonder what was happening 3,141 days ago.
Answer?
We were in the middle of the credit crisis and stock market crash of 2008.
But that’s not what frightens me.
What really scares me is that ALL of these cycles are now pointing in the same direction.

“The Size of the Coming K‑Wave Could Be Enormous”

One of Kondratieff’s disciples, Joseph Schumpeter, wrote:
If the shorter cycles come into phase with each other — and if they, in turn, join with the K‑Wave — the “amplitude” of the resulting wave would be enormous.
It would result in an economic catastrophe of epic proportions. In other words, it would be a TIDAL WAVE of economic change.
The last time all these cycles converged was during the Great Depression.
And now, in 2016, it’s happening again.

Economic Tidal Waves Act Just like Tsunamis

According to M.I.T. research, tidal waves in the economy work a lot like those in nature.
Deep beneath the ocean floor, two tectonic plates rub against each other to create a fissure or fault line.
As the pressure builds up over the centuries, a rupture occurs.


When two tectonic plates rupture underwater, a tsunami occurs.
It’s an earthquake. But it’s happening underwater. So nobody can see it or hear it. Until it’s too late.
The earthquake displaces massive amounts of water, which move outward in waves at speeds of up to 500 miles an hour.
When the first wave hits the shore, it causes utter devastation.
According to the National Geographic, the enormous energy of a tsunami can lift giant boulders, flip vehicles and demolish houses.”
But from a financial standpoint, the K‑Wave will be even worse:
  • Millions could lose their homes.
  • Millions more could see their lifesavings wiped out in an instant.
  • Businesses, large and small, could close their doors.
  • Even the bare necessities of life — food, water, clothing — might become scarce.
This financial devastation will radiate outward from its source at an alarming speed until every civilized human being on the planet is affected.

Where Is the “Fault Line” in the Global Economy?

So where is the fault line in the global economy?
Where is the fissure that threatens to rupture and trigger this economic tsunami?
The answer should come as no surprise to you.
You see it in the headlines when you open the newspaper every morning.
You hear it on TV every night when you turn on the news.
It is, after all, where most of the world’s worst human disasters have taken place over the last 2,000 years.
Of course, I’m talking about Europe.
Ever since the European Union was formed in 1979, the entire continent has been drowning in a sea of debt.

Europeans Are Running up a Tab That Soon Will Come Due!

For more than 40 years, Europeans have been living like kings and working like couch potatoes.



Europeans have been living like kings and working like couch potatoes.
As they sip wine and nibble on cheese in their cafés …
Enjoying their 35-hour work week mandatory month-long vacations, and free health care …
They’ve been running up a tab that boggles the mind.
Of the 28 countries in the European Union, 19 are deep in debt …
Despite repeated efforts to bail them out.


Europeans owe more than every man, woman and child can earn!
The people of Spain, for example, would have to fork over ALL of their annual income in taxes just for the government to break even.
But many countries actually owe MORE than their people and businesses can produce each year.
Cyprus owes 8% more than GDP … Portugal owes 30% more … Italy 32%.
Greece still takes the cake with 79% more money going out every year than every man, woman and child in Greece can earn.

The Judgment Day Is Coming

Of course, some economists say it doesn’t matter. They say you can just keep printing more money forever.



Some “economists” don’t read history.
But history has shown this isn’t true.
Ever since Roman emperors began debasing their coins, we’ve known there’s always a price to pay.
There’s always a judgment day.
For Europe, the judgment day is here.

Europe Is Starting to “Crack”

The tectonic plates which have held the EU together for 40 years are starting to show cracks and fissures.
Hordes of refugees are amassing in camps at Europe’s border, threatening to climb over the fences.
They want their share of the free stuff, too
Tens of thousands of young male refugees have broken through to Northern Europe.
Unable to speak the language or find jobs, they hang out on street corners harassing European women and throwing rocks and bottles at men.



The refugee crisis in Europe is the fuse that could cause the entire continent to explode.
In Paris, terrorists killed 130 innocent people and injured 368 more in November of 2015.
Then in March of 2016, terrorists killed another 31 people in Brussels, the capital of the European Union.
The British are sick of it. Many of their leaders now realize the EU was a big mistake from the get-go.
Other nations, such as Hungary and Poland, wish they’d never joined the EU in the first place.
According to the New York Times, “the EU could dissipate faster than even its detractors could’ve dreamed.”

Are Hitler and Mussolini Ready for Their Big Comeback?

Meanwhile countries like France and Germany have watched the rise of politicians who promise to preserve the purity of their populations.
Sound familiar?
Watching the news out of Europe nowadays is like watching a black-and-white newsreel from the 1930s.



Beware the return of nationalist parties in Europe. No mustaches this time!
Like Germany in the 1930s, the highlight of that newsreel could be the collapse of the European currency.
Back then, German marks were more useful in the fireplace as kindling than at the grocery store to buy food.
Could it happen again? In fact, it’s already happening.
And according to the K‑Wave, it’s happening right on schedule.


European Banks Steal Money from
Their Own Customers!

In some European countries, interest rates have now turned negative. Which means you now have to PAY the bank to hold your money.
At least the money is safe, you might think. But it’s not.
Because governments in Europe are so broke they can’t keep their greedy hands off it.
In Cyprus, for example, the government reached into the bank accounts of anyone who had more than 100,000 euros on deposit …
And took 40% of it!
They didn’t even have the courtesy to leave a thank you note.
It’s called a “bail-in.” Because European governments no longer have enough money to bail banks out.

Watch Out for the Collapse of the Euro!

Meanwhile, the euro continues to drop in value.
At its peak in 2007, one euro was worth $1.59. As of May of 2016, it was worth just $1.13. That’s a drop of 29% in less than ten years.
When it becomes worth less than a dollar, the euro could go into free fall.
My prediction?
The EU will break apart within a matter of weeks, or even days, from now.
And when it does, the euro will collapse.
This is the “economic earthquake” that will send shockwaves throughout the global economy.
And the first place the tsunami will hit is Japan.

Here’s Why Japan Will Be the Next to Fall

Why Japan?
Because after the United States and China, Europe is Japan’s biggest trading partner.
When Japan sends cars, cameras, and computers to Europe, they expect to get paid for them.
If they don’t get paid — or if they get paid in worthless euros — the fault lines in Japan’s own economy will crack wide open.
Because even though Japan seems like a rich country, it’s actually a house of cards waiting to fall down.
For two reasons:
First, because the national debt in Japan is even WORSE than any country in Europe, including Greece.
Japan has the biggest deficit in the world — more than one quadrillion yen.


Japan’s debt is more than 2.5 times its entire economy, the worst in the world.
That’s more than two and a half times the entire Japanese economy.
Which makes the Greeks look downright frugal by comparison.
What’s more, the Japanese keep adding to their debt at a rate of 96 trillion a year.

How the Japanese Keep Their “Ponzi Scheme” Going

So why haven’t you seen riots in the streets of Tokyo like you did in Athens?
Because the Japanese still have a strong manufacturing base and a healthy trade balance.
As long as Europe keeps buying Hondas and Sony’s, the Japanese can keep their Ponzi scheme going.
When the euro falls, however, it will take the yen with it.
And the Japanese economy — the third largest in the world —  will come tumbling down.

Japan’s Worst Problem — Deflation!

But the deficit isn’t the worst of Japan’s problems.
The bigger problem is that the Japanese people aren’t stupid.
They know their debt is not sustainable. They know their pension plans and social security checks are at risk.
So they’ve been hording money at an alarming rate and refusing to spend it.
As a result, consumer prices are dropping like a rock.
When the Japanese consumer knows the price of a car will be LOWER next year than it is today, what does he do?
He saves his money and waits until next year, of course.
Nowadays there’s only ONE product in Japan that’s selling like hotcakes …



The typical Japanese consumer would rather save his money than spend it. And who can blame him?
Home safes!
This kind of deflationary cycle is what turns a recession into a depression.
The Japanese have suffered four recessions in a row since 2008. For all intents and purposes, Japan is now in a depression.
Which makes it even LESS likely they’ll ever be able to get out of debt.
The bottom line?
Just like their houses, the Japanese economy is made out of paper.
When the K‑Wave hits Tokyo, the result will be total devastation.

Welcome to the Only Country in Worse  Shape Than Japan!

But there’s one country in the world that’s in even worse shape than Japan. Even worse than the European Union. Even worse than Greece.
Can you guess where it is?
Home sweet home!
The United States will be the last place the tsunami hits. But because it’s the world’s biggest economy, it will suffer the most.
America also has the world’s worst debt, although politicians don’t like to talk about it. They’ll tell you it’s “only” $19 trillion dollars.
But when you add all of the money our government owes to veterans …
Baby Boomer retirees …
Medicare and Medicaid recipients …
All the things Washington calls “unfunded liabilities” …
Suddenly our debt looks more like $127 trillion dollars.
Which would make it worse than Greece. Worse than Japan. Worse than any other country in the world.

Every Baby Born Owes Uncle Sam $1,000,000!

Soon, every baby born in the United States will get a slap on the butt from the doctor …
And a bill from Uncle Sam for $1.1 million dollars.
Again, some economists say this is nothing to worry about.
We’ve been running a deficit ever since the Revolutionary War, they say, and we’re still here. It’s no different than carrying a long mortgage. 



Here’s what happens when you can’t pay your debts.
But when you can’t afford to make payments on your mortgage, that’s when they kick you out on the street.
Which is exactly what will happen to the United States in a few short years.
Before long, payments on the national debt will become the third largest item in the federal budget.
What can the Fed do to get us out of this mess?


There Are Only Three Things the Fed Can Do About It:

They’ve only got three big guns in their arsenal, and they’ve already fired all three of them with no impact.
They tried lowering interest rates.
Since 2007, the Fed Funds rate has dropped from 5.5% to just 0.26%. That’s a 95% reduction, but it didn’t help.  

Big gun number one? Dud!

They tried pumping cash into the banking system in exchange for bonds and securities.
But in 2007, the Fed’s balance sheet was just $890 billion.
Now it’s $4.5 trillion and they’ve got nothing to show for it but a pile of their own lousy bonds.

Big gun number two? Misfire!

Finally, they tried to stimulate inflation.
But last year, the CPI grew by only 0.7% and producer prices actually fell by one percent — ushering in a new era of deflation.
That’s something we haven’t seen in the United States since … you guessed it, the 1930s. 
Speaking of deflation, I was on an airplane the other day and I sat next to a dairy farmer.



“Keep your hands to yourself, farmer!”
He said milk prices have fallen so low he’s now milking his cows three times a day just to break even.
I said, “I didn’t know you could milk a cow three times a day.”
“You can milk them four times a day,” he said. “But when am I supposed to sleep? And if I produce that much milk, the prices will go down even more.”
It’s a classic deflationary spiral — the first sign of a coming depression.

Big gun number three? BACKFIRE!

Frankly, there’s only one kind of ammunition the government has left to fight this sovereign debt crisis:
Bullets!
And don’t think for a moment they won’t use them.

Here’s How the Economic Crisis Will Unravel

The crisis will start in the global bond markets as investors start dumping U.S. Treasury bills at any price.
Washington will respond by raising interest rates.
But no matter how high the rates go, investors will avoid U.S. bonds like a five-day-old fish.
As interest rates rise, America’s retirees will watch the bond prices in their portfolios take a nosedive.
The investments that millions of retirees depend on for income — including private pensions and “guaranteed” annuities — will vanish overnight.
With no reserves on hand and nobody left to lend it money, the government will have no choice but to start laying off its 2.7 million federal employees.
  • Next they’ll stop sending out Social Security checks.
  • No more money for Medicare and Medicaid.
  • No more food stamps. Welfare checks. Or disability payments for veterans.
  • Banks and businesses will shut their doors.
  • Soon there will be no cash left in the ATM machines …
  • No gas at the service stations …
  • No food on the grocery shelves.
That’s when the American people will take to the streets. Some in peaceful protest, yes. But millions more will take to the streets in hunger, anger and fear.

When You Dial 911, You’ll Get a Busy Signal

When this happens, don’t count on the government to help you! You can dial 911 if you want, but you’ll just get a busy signal.
Because the police, the National Guard and the army will be patrolling the streets in tanks warning people to stay inside or risk getting shot.



The government will not be your friend at this point.
The government will NOT be your friend at this point. It will be your mortal enemy. Because there’s nothing more dangerous than a government fighting for its own survival.
Like a wounded animal, it will do whatever it can to stay in power. Even if it means taking away your freedom and stealing your money.
So how can you protect yourself?

Time to Pack Your “Bug-Out Bag” and Run?
Or Would You Rather Get Rich?

Well, some people have built a little cabin in the woods. They’ve stocked it with food, guns, and ammunition. They call it a “bolt hole.”
You know what? It’s not such a bad idea! But it’s not for everyone.
It’s not for me, that’s for sure. I grew up in the suburbs of New York City. I’m not Davy Crockett or Daniel Boone. I don’t know how to skin a rabbit or clean a fish. And at my age, I’m not about to learn.
But I’ve got a better way to protect myself. And you do, too.
The answer is to get rich. Rich enough to weather the storm and keep your assets out of danger.
The best defense, in other words, is a good offense. And guess what?
The K‑Wave itself will give you the perfect way to do that.
How?


Here’s How to Surf the “K‑Wave” Safely to Shore!

By “surfing” the K‑Wave safely into shore.
Because after Europe and Japan collapse, the K‑Wave will reach a “crest” before it hits the United States.



Like any wave, the K‑Wave will reach a crest before it crashes.
That crest is called “flight capital.”
What is flight capital?
Let me explain.
You see, investment capital always flows in one direction: It flows AWAY from danger and TOWARDS safety and growth.
As Europe and Japan collapse, rich people in those countries will look for somewhere to put their money where it will be safe and have a chance to grow.

What Would You Do if You Were in “Pierre’s” Shoes?

Suppose, for example, your name is “Pierre Dubois” and you live in Paris.
For 30 years you’ve owned a restaurant on the Left Bank and now you have 500,000 euros socked away for your retirement.
But the French government has been talking about negative interest rates to stimulate their failing economy.
Which means that for every year you keep your money “safely” in the bank at negative 0.05%, you’ll lose 2,500 euros!
You’ve thought about smuggling the cash out of the country.
But the French police now have “cash-sniffing” dogs at the borders to stop you from doing that.



These dogs don’t sniff out drugs, they sniff out cash!
What you really need is someplace to invest your money. Someplace safe and secure. Someplace where it will grow enough to offset your high French taxes. 
But where?
To answer that question, let me take you back in history …

Here’s What Happened the Last Time the K‑Wave Hit:

Let’s go back to the last time the K‑Wave hit the global economy with the kind of force that’s coming in 2016.
I’m talking about 1932 — the depth of the Great Depression.
This is the great untold story of the depression in America, the part that’s never taught in schools.
Everybody knows about the crash of 1929. The stockbrokers jumping out of the windows on Wall Street. The soup lines. The Dust Bowl.
But nobody remembers the period between 1932 and 1937 was one of the greatest bull markets in history.
During this time the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 372%!


During the depths of the Depression, the Dow rose 372%! Enough to turn $10,000 into $47,000 in five years!
That’s enough to turn $10,000 into $47,200 in just five years.
That’s the same as $780,543 today.
What caused this incredible run-up on Wall Street?
Why were some people getting rich inside the New York Stock Exchange when so many people outside were standing in line for soup?
The answer?
Flight capital from Europe.

Rich Europeans Needed Someplace
Safe to Stash Their Cash

Because in 1932, Europe was in even worse shape than the United States. Germany was bankrupt. France, Italy, and even England were facing dire financial problems of their own.
Yet there were still lots of rich people in Europe. Many of them sitting on family fortunes dating back hundreds of years.
They needed to find a place to stash their money where it would be safe, secure, and have a chance to grow.
They found it in the American stock market.
Because America was still a lender nation back then, not a borrower. The U.S. Dollar was still backed by gold. Our great blue-chip companies like General Motors and General Electric were strong and growing.
The American stock market, in other words, was the safest place in the world to sock away some money.
To Europeans who were scared of Hitler and Mussolini. Worried about their failing economies. Frightened by the looming threat of war …
Wall Street looked like the land of milk and honey.
So the Dow Jones soared. And some people got crazy rich as a result.

Here’s How J. Paul Getty Got Rich in the Depression

Take J. Paul Getty, for example. He became a billionaire at the height of the Great Depression. How?
To put it simply, Getty understood the secret of flight capital. He realized that when you have a struggling global economy, plus shaky governments throughout the world …
It triggers a TIDAL WAVE OF CAPITAL flowing out of government bonds and into stocks.
Which is exactly what happened.
The Dow Jones rallied from a low of 40.52 in July of 1932 to a high of 195.2 in March of 1937. That’s a gain of 372% during the worst depression in history!
By the time J. Paul Getty died, he was worth $19.6 billion in today’s dollars.

Now It’s Happening Again!

Flash forward 85 years — or two K‑Wave cycles — and you’re watching the same thing happen again.
The K‑Wave tsunami will wipe out the European Union in a matter of weeks (possibly days) from now.
Then the tidal wave will crash into Japan within a year.
At that point, millions of wealthy Europeans and Japanese will be searching the globe for someplace safe to stash their money.
Where will it go?

There’s Only One Place the Money Can  Go:

The so-called BRIC countries — Brazil, Russia, India and China — offer a chance of growth … but no safety or security.
Would you trust your lifesavings to Vladimir Putin or the brutal dictators in Beijing?
In Brazil, people are rioting in the streets. In India, people are still starving in the streets.
No, there’s only one place it can go. The last harbor of safety, growth, and rule of law in the world:
The United States of America.
But where exactly?

Which Investments Will Attract the Most “Flight Capital?”

It certainly won’t go into U.S. Treasury bonds because there’s no return there.
And with $127 trillion dollars in debt, there isn’t much safety either.
Some of it will go into gold, of course. But there isn’t enough gold in the world to accept this massive influx of money.
Some of it will go into high-end American real estate. In fact, you’ve already seen that starting to happen. You’ve probably read about the skyscrapers in New York filled with $100 million condos.
These apartments are the “bolt holes” of frightened Europeans, Japanese, and other Asian billionaires.



High-rise condos like these in New York are the “bolt-holes” of rich Europeans and Asians.
But the problem with owning a luxury condo is that it isn’t liquid.
If you need to get your $100 million out of your condo fast, how quickly can you sell it?
No, there’s only one place in the world that has the liquidity, the safety, and the return that Japanese and European investors want:
Wall Street.

Catch the Crest and Escape the Crash!

That’s why the K‑Wave will reach a “crest” in the stock market before it hits the American economy.
As the K‑Wave crests, I predict the Dow Jones will nearly double in value, reaching at least 31,000 in 2020.
How did I come up with such a shocking figure?
Simple arithmetic.
I took the low point of the Dow during the crash — which was 6,495 in March of 2009 — and multiplied it by the same amount the Dow rose during the Depression.
But I said “at least” 31,000 because I believe that’s a conservative estimate.
In fact, the Dow could go much, much higher.
Why?


Multinational Corporations Have Cash to Protect, Too!

Because we’re not just talking about individual European and Japanese investors here. We’re also talking about multinational corporations, both foreign and domestic.
Apple alone has more than $147 billion on its books right now, most of it parked in U.S. Treasury bonds. That’s more cash than even the U.S. Government itself keeps on hand!
As those bonds get more and more risky — and yield less and less income — the bean counters at Apple will be looking for somewhere else to put it.
And the first place they’ll look will be Wall Street.
Nor is Apple alone …
  • Microsoft is sitting on $80 billion in cash and cash equivalents...
  • Google has $58 billion burning a hole in its pocket …
  • Verizon has $57 billion it doesn’t know what to do with …
  • Johnson & Johnson … General Electric … Pfizer … and dozens of others are in the same cash-rich quandary.
These companies are facing the same problem as the restaurant owner from Paris, “Pierre Dubois”:
Where can you put your savings that is safe, liquid, and has some chance of growth?
There’s only one answer:
The New York Stock Exchange.  

You Are in for the Greatest Bull Market Ride in History!


Which is why you and I are in for the greatest bull market ride in history.
If you’re over the age of 50, this is likely to be the last great bull market of your lifetime. Even if you’re the under the age of 50, it could be the fastest run-up in stocks you’ll see as long as you live.
 But here’s the best part:
Because you’ve read this letter, you will be one of the few people who understands what’s going on!
While others sit on the sidelines, shake their heads, and mutter, “Why is the stock market going up when the global economy is tanking?”
YOU will know exactly what’s happening and why.
The only question is:

Will you take advantage of it?

When the Dow hits 31,000 by the year 2020, will you kick yourself and say, “Gee, I guess Larry was right. I sure wish I’d listened to him.”
Or will you be popping the cork on a bottle of champagne and telling the skipper of your yacht to set sail for your private island in the Caribbean?
The choice is yours.
But you’ve got to make that choice today.  
Because the window of opportunity is small and it will slam shut before you know it.

Where Will YOU Be When the K‑Wave Crashes?

When the K‑Wave crashes into the American economy …
You’ll either be one of the lucky few who are rich and secure …
Or one of the millions who are hungry, desperate, and afraid.
Now you might be tempted to say, “Dow 31,000 sounds pretty good to me, Larry, I’ll just hold onto my U.S. stocks and watch them double in value.”
In other words, you might be tempted to sit tight and do nothing.
But sitting tight is the worst thing you could do.
For three reasons:

Three Reasons Why “Sitting Tight” Is the WORST Thing You Could Do

First, because you can't expect EVERY part of your portfolio to rise in lockstep with the Dow.  
If you have a diversified portfolio —  as most investors do —  the K-Wave will cause many of your stocks and bonds to crash even while the Dow is going up.    
If you’re holding Treasury bills, municipal bonds, high-yield corporate paper, small-cap stocks, or international equities, for example, you’re going to take such a beating that it won’t matter if the Dow goes to 31,000 …

You’ll still go broke!

Second, you need to do more than just double your portfolio in order to protect yourself.
That’s why I’m going to tell you in the next few minutes how you could make 300% … 400% … even 500% on your investments in a short amount of time.
Because you’re going need that kind of growth to stay safe after the crash.

The Tide Will Go OUT Before It Comes Back In!

The third reason you can’t sit tight is because the K‑Wave will act just like a real tsunami.
In other words, the tide will go out just before the wave comes in — like a powerful undertow.
My computer models say the Dow could pull all the way back to 13,900 before it starts to rise again.
But in the next few minutes, I’ll tell you how to protect yourself from this undertow and position your portfolio for the crest that’s right behind it.
That’s why sitting tight is the worst thing you can do.
If you sit tight, you’ll be like those people I saw in the tsunami video.
You’ll be lounging on the beach … sipping your cocktail … putting suntan lotion on your body …
And before you know it, you’ll be under 50 feet of water.
So what should you do?

Here’s What I’m Going to Do with My Own Investments

Let me tell you what I’m doing to grow my own portfolio and protect my family from what’s ahead.
I’ve written it all down in a research report called “THE STOCK MARKET TSUNAMI: Catch the Crest and Escape the Crash.”
I’d like to send it to you for free when you click the button below.
In it, you’ll find Five Steps you can take NOW to “surf” the crest of the K‑Wave safely to shore … and protect yourself from the crash that will follow.
STEP #1 is to get out of your most vulnerable investments immediately.
If I told you, for example, that a real tidal wave was headed your way in the next few weeks, wouldn’t you sell your beach house now?
At the very least, wouldn’t you remove any valuables and furniture that weren’t nailed down?
Well, that’s exactly what I want you to do with your portfolio.

I’m talking about such things as T-bills, muni bonds, high-yield corporate paper, and blue-chip stocks with too much exposure to Europe and Japan.
In your FREE REPORT, I’m going to tell you exactly which investments you should sell for cash now.
Because you’re going to need that cash for Step #2 …
STEP #2 is to buy the safe blue-chip stocks I recommend when the undertow puts them on sale.
As I said a moment ago, there’s going to be a powerful undertow before the K‑Wave hits Wall Street.
The good news is that when the tide is low, you’ll be able to pick up some great American stocks at bargain prices.
In your FREE REPORT, I’ll tell you which blue chips to sell as the K‑Wave crest begins to form.
Plus, I’ll give you sneak peek at my computer models to help you time those moves to perfection.
Because if you “surf” the K‑Wave perfectly, you should be able to do more than just double your money.
You should be perfectly positioned to multiply your money by 300% … 400% … even 500%.

When the K‑Wave crashes into the American economy, you’re going to need that kind of money to keep your family safe and secure.
STEP #3 is to take advantage of a stronger U.S. Dollar as the euro and yen collapse.
Starting this year, you’re going to see chaos in the global currency markets unlike ever before in history.
The euro will collapse. It will drag the yen down with it. Other currencies around the world will fluctuate like crazy.
But the good old American greenback will keep getting stronger as the world stashes their cash in dollars.
You don’t have to be a currency speculator to make money on this. In fact, you don’t have to play the currency markets at all.
In your FREE REPORT, I’ll show you some easy ways to take advantage of a stronger dollar.

Retailers who specialize in imports, for example will see their profits soar.
American manufacturers who buy raw materials overseas will enjoy profits they haven’t seen in years. Domestic homebuilders will benefit from cheaper lumber and copper.
But there are many other stocks that will be WIPED OUT by a stronger dollar …
And in your FREE REPORT I’ll steer you away from those, too.
STEP #4 is to get ready for World War III.
When the EU collapses, the national borders will go up again. The finger pointing will start. The fascist political parties will take power.
Before you know it, Europeans will do what they’ve always done best:
Kill each other.
When the Japanese economy collapses, meanwhile, don’t expect China to send them a sympathy card. Those two countries have hated each other for centuries.
With the Japanese economy in the tank, China will start gobbling up the land both countries claim to own.
No matter what happens, you can count on this:
America will be dragged into these conflicts in one way or another.
Our military alliances with Europe and Japan are so strong it will be impossible to stay out of it.
Which is why defense and security stocks will be among those to rise most during the K‑Wave.
In your FREE REPORT, I’ll give you the names of my top three U.S. Defense stocks.


Including the Fortune 500 company that is the ONLY firm that builds and maintains nuclear-powered ships for the U.S. Navy.
This is a stock that could easily turn every $10,000 you invest into $30,000 when the you-know-what hits the fan.
STEP #5 is to wait until gold goes on sale, then back up the truck!
When the K‑Wave crashes into America, the most valuable asset in the world to own will be gold.
BUT MAKE NO MOVE ON GOLD UNTIL YOU HEAR IT FROM ME!
I’ve been calling the twists and turns in the gold market for 38 years.
In your FREE REPORT, I will give you the exact date, time, and price when gold has been cleared for takeoff.

That’s when you should back up the truck and buy as much of the yellow metal as you can get your hands on.
Because my models are telling me gold could shoot up to $5,000 an ounce when the K‑Wave comes to America.
I’ll also tell you how to own your gold. Because some gold investments will be safer and more profitable than others.
Some will be downright dangerous.
Owning shares in mining companies, for example, is a great way to leverage the rising price of gold. A 25% rise in the price of gold could result in a 300% rise in profits for a gold mining company.
Stock prices could shoot up even higher. The last time the price of gold surged, for example, some mining stocks generated returns of up to 3,000%.
That’s enough to turn $10,000 into $300,000!
So if the price of gold goes to $5,000, sitting on a pile of mining stocks could make you look like King Midas.
But mining companies are notoriously risky stocks …
And they’ve been going through a rough patch recently.

Some of them aren’t going to be around when the big run-up takes place.
And I don’t want you holding the bag if some of the biggest names in the business go belly up.
That’s why it’s so important that you get your free copy of “STOCK MARKET TSUNAMI” right away.
When you click the button below, I’ll send you a copy of this privately-circulated report absolutely free.
You can be reading it in a matter of minutes from now.
What’s more, I’ll also invite you to accept a risk-free subscription to my monthly bulletin Real Wealth Report.
You see, my book and my monthly bulletin go hand in hand. Because the K‑Wave is a moving target.
In your free copy of “STOCK MARKET TSUNAMI”, I’ll lay out the basics for you.
I’ll explain exactly what’s going to happen and why. I’ll give you the five steps you must take now to profit from the crest of the wave and protect your profits from the crash.
But as the K‑Wave moves through the global economy — from Europe, to Japan, to the United States …
I need to be in constant touch with you to make sure you take full advantage (and every precaution) as these seismic shifts take place.
  • You need to watch for the right target prices …
  • Buy or sell at the right moment for maximum profit …
  • And set the right trailing stops for your protection …
The only way I can help you do that is with my monthly bulletin, Real Wealth Report.

You’ll get “Flash Alerts” when you need to take action quickly.
I’ll also send “Flash Alerts” to your inbox when there’s a change in the market that calls for action on your part.
Once every 90 days you’ll receive a special V.I.P. INVITATION to attend my private online briefings …
Private online briefings every 90 days.
When I meet with members to answer your questions and give you my forecasts for the coming quarter.
Your free E-letter:
The Edelson Wave
Plus, as a member of my inner circle, you’ll receive The Edelson Wave every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. My team and I will provide our latest insights on the stock market, gold, energy, real estate and more. You’ll also get updates on my cycle forecasts and the impact on world events and your investments.
One more thing …
Each issue of Real Wealth Report contains a “model portfolio” that shows you exactly what to buy, what to hold, what to sell … and when.

Model portfolio makes it easy to make the right moves.

Up by 18.45% in the “Lousy” Year of 2015!

Does it work?
Well, last year when nearly every investor in the country was watching his portfolio go down — or at best, sideways — subscribers who followed my recommendations should have been up 18.45%!
Eighteen percent is the kind of return you’d expect in a raging bull market. Not the limp spaghetti market we had in 2015.
  • We beat the S&P 500 by 1,346% …
  • Outperformed 99% of all mutual funds …
  • And beat the average hedge fund by 41 times over!
 That’s why I get letters like this in my inbox almost every day:
“Thank you, Larry! Your insight and knowledge is well worth the yearly subscription. I’m banking my entire savings on your advice. Please continue to steer me towards preserving and increasing my wealth!”
— D.S., Round Lake, IL
No wonder my members would gladly pay $228 a year for this service.
In fact, some of them have told me they would pay ten times as much for their subscription.
But you won’t pay even half as much. Not even one quarter of it!
If you click the button below in the next ten minutes, I’ll not only give you a free copy of “STOCK MARKET TSUNAMI” …
I’ll also give you a one-year, free-trial subscription to Real Wealth Report for just $29.
That’s about 8 cents per day. Heck, you’ve probably got that much stuck in the cracks of your couch!
Why so low?
Because I’m on a mission to save as many people as I can from the coming K‑Wave tsunami.

I’m Tossing You a Lifeline!


Do you know where the safest place to be when a tidal wave hits the shore?
Well, the safest place is to be is on a mountaintop a thousand miles inland!
But believe it or not, the next safest place is to be on a boat.
If you’re on a boat in deep water, the tsunami will pass harmlessly underneath you. All you’ll feel is the boat go up as the wave goes by.
That’s exactly how I look at Real Wealth Report.
It’s a lifeboat that will not only help protect you from the coming K‑Wave …
But it will help you ride the crest to a level of wealth you never dreamed possible.
So I’m throwing out a lifeline to people who are smart enough to see the danger ahead …
 And motivated enough to protect themselves.


Try It for 12 Months Without Risking a Penny!
(And Get Three More Special Reports FREE!)

If that sounds like you …
 I’ll think you’ll want to stick with Real Wealth Report for as long as it takes for us to get through this crisis.
Which is why I’m willing to do two more things for you:
First, I’ll give you a 100% money-back guarantee for 12 full months.
You’ll get ALL of your money back, even if you ask for a full refund on the last day of your subscription. No questions asked.
Second, I’d like to send you THREE MORE SPECIAL REPORTS to help you take advantage of every phase of the coming K‑Wave.
Because I believe you can hit THREE BIG JACKPOTS between now and when the K‑Wave comes ashore in America …

Like Lining Up Three “7’s” on the Slot Machine!

It’s just like lining up three “7’s” on a slot machine …
FIRST, you’ll hit a jackpot the when the European Union cracks apart.
And you can do it without shorting stocks or playing the currency markets.


In your free report, “EUROPE’S FALL IS YOUR GAIN,” I’ll show you some simple strategies for making money on the collapse of the European Union.
If the stock markets in Europe plunge 60%, for example, I’ll show you an inverse ETF that could turn every $10,000 you invest into $28,000.
SECOND, you could score another jackpot when the K‑Wave strikes Japan.
Again, there’s no need for going short, buying options, or using any complex hedging strategies. 


Your free report, “KAMIKAZE K‑Wave,” will give you the names of several blue-chip American companies that could take off when Tokyo tanks.
THIRD, you could hit another jackpot when the K‑Wave starts to crest in America.
As I said before, I believe the Dow will hit 31,000 within a year, nearly doubling the value of your American blue chips today.
But you can — and you must — do better than that if you want to be safe and secure when the K‑Wave crashes into America.

So in your free report: “FLIGHT CAPITAL FORTUNE!”, I’ll show you how to amass a vast fortune in the last bull market of your lifetime.
Finally, let me send you one more bonus gift to thank you for giving Real Wealth Report a risk-free try.
“CASH IN ON THE K-WAVE CRASH” will show you how to protect — and even grow — your wealth when the K‑Wave finally crashes into the U.S. economy.

In it you’ll find out how to protect your money from the prying eyes and greedy hands of a desperate government …
How to take full advantage of a precious metals market that could send the price of gold as high as $5,000.00 an ounce.
And how to buy the hard assets, inverse ETF’s, and rock-solid stocks that will prosper in the bloody aftermath of the K‑Wave crash.

A special “thank-you” gift
to help you through this crisis:

It’s a free three-month subscription to Weiss Research’s flagship newsletter, Safe Money Report, edited by my friend Bill Hall.
We don’t always see eye-to-eye, but you will benefit from having his viewpoint as well as mine. Plus, Bill recommends the kinds of investments that both protect your money and grow it at the same time. Just the kinds of investments you should own at a time like this. So I want you to see Bill’s recommendations as well.  And when your subscription is up for renewal, we will notify you in advance and tell you of the renewal rates then in effect.

Don’t Delay! Time Is Running Out!

But, time is running out on your chance to get rich in the K‑Wave before it wipes out nearly everything you own.
So please click the button below right now.
You’ll be sent to an order page where you can take as long as you need to decide if Real Wealth Report is for you.
If so, you’ll get 12 issues of Real Wealth Report ...
Including my “Flash Alerts,” model portfolio, and twice-daily e-zine Money and Markets.
Plus, your FREE COPY of “STOCK MARKET TSUNAMI: Catch the Crest and Escape the Crash.”

That’s a total of $623 worth of newsletters and special reports for just $29.
You’ll save $594!
Your satisfaction is guaranteed until the clock strikes midnight on the last day of your subscription.
You’ll keep everything I’ve sent you and get ALL YOUR MONEY BACK with no questions asked.

Will You Survive This “Roller Coaster Ride Through Hell?”


Let me end on a hopeful note.
I believe America will survive this K‑Wave crisis. In fact, I believe we will come out on the other side stronger than ever.
But make no mistake …
Our economy is about to go on a roller coaster ride through hell.
All the normal “rules” about how to invest and how the economy is supposed to work will be turned upside down in the chaos of the crash.
The aftermath of the K‑Wave — like the aftermath of a tidal wave — will be ugly and brutal.
Many will be wiped out. Many will lose their homes. Many will see their financial lives ruined forever.
But I don’t intend to be one of them.
And I don’t want you to be one of them either.
I want us to be among the fortunate few who come out stronger and wealthier than ever.
That’s why I urge you to click the button below and join me as we ride the crest of the K‑Wave to riches!
Sincerely,

Larry Edelson
Senior Analyst
Weiss Research, Inc.
P.S. In Julius Caesar, Shakespeare wrote, “There is a tide in the affairs of men which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune. Omitted, all the voyage of their life is bound in shallows and miseries.”
Don’t live your life in shallows and miseries! “Take the current when it serves” and let it lead you to fortune by clicking the button below right now:


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